3 Braves spring training overreactions after first week of action
There are some hot takes flying around already from the Braves' spring training games.
![Tampa Bay Rays v Atlanta Braves](https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/c_crop,w_7553,h_4248,x_0,y_0/c_fill,w_752,ar_16:9,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto/images/GettyImages/mmsport/17/01hqt47rgnad70899s74.jpg)
The Atlanta Braves have finally gotten their spring training schedule started and or long nightmare without Bravea baseball has come to an end. Sure, these have just been early spring training games where the regulars are just getting a couple plate appearances here and there while they get in game shape so far, but it is just nice to see the Braves in action again.
Fortunately for the Braves, there isn't much in the way of drama in camp. The fifth spot in the rotation is a genuine competition, but one where there are some betting favorites in Bryce Elder and/or Reynaldo Lopez. There is a spot or two in the bullpen that could be up for grabs depending on some other dominoes fall and the Braves' bench has yet to be sorted out.
Unfortunately, some have taken the results of these early spring training games and drawn some pretty wild conclusions about how these competitions should go and how good some players are going to be. While objectively silly to do given that all of these guys are just getting reps in and trying things out, it hasn't stopped people from putting some pretty crazy thoughts out there.
With that in mind, here is a look at some of the biggest overreactions out there to the early portions of the Braves' spring training so far.
You may want to hold off on giving Chris Sale the Cy Young for now
Fans were understandably apprehensive about the Braves trading for Chris Sale. Atlanta gave up one of their better trade chips in Vaughn Grissom to get him and while he was one of the best pitchers on the planet at one point, his injuries in recent years made some wonder if the Braves made the wrong move at arguably their biggest position of need this offseason.
It is funny how things can turn on a dime in sports, however. Sale reported to camp without any issues and made his first appearance in spring training where he absolutely dominated over two innings. Now, those who were the first to be skeptics have turned around and started proclaiming that Sale is the best thing since sliced bread and calling him the ace of the Braves' staff.
First, this was one short spring training start. If Sale strings together at a few appearances that are four innings plus and continues to strike out two batters an inning, then fans should start getting excited. Moreover, we already knew that Sale was good when he actually pitched. The concern with him wasn't ever talent or ability, but his ability to stay on the mound over the course of a long season.
We won't know if he can do that until he actually does it, but it is still nice to see him find success in camp so far and make a great first impression.
Michael Harris II isn't going to stay this good, but expect a strong season
There is a lot to like about Michael Harris II's game. Harris took home the NL Rookie of the Year title and has quickly become one of the Braves brightest young stars due to a well-rounded tool kit and production in nearly every aspect of the game. If he could just draw more walks, he would be a dark horse MVP pick type of player and he may very well get to that point soon.
However, he isn't going to be quite as good as he has shown in spring training so far. In his three games so far, Harris has posted a nutty 1.625 OPS with a pair of homers that were both absolute tanks. All of a sudden, everyone thinks that he is going to be Barry Bonds in 2024.
Expecting that much out of him is probably unwise as Harris has yet to eclipse 20 homers in a season as a big leaguer. However, he does have some real pop in his bat and given how well he runs, Harris putting together a 25/25 season or better while playing Gold Glove caliber defense in center is very much in the realm of possibility.
This is the danger with evaluating baseball players within a small sample. Baseball is not like other sports where you can see one or two plays and calculate a guy's potential. The MLB season is long and games are more marathons than sprints. Harris isn't going to blast 50+ home runs this year, but he is poised to have a strong season and that should have Braves fans jacked up regardless.
AJ Smith-Shawver is going to be just fine
Spring training overreactions are never more apparent than when it comes to pitchers. These guys only throw an inning or two early on in spring training and if those innings go really well or really not well, fans can start calling for some pretty wild things. AJ Smith-Shawver's first spring start is a classic example of this.
In his first appearance on the mound this spring, Smith-Shawver gave up a pair of home runs to the Phillies in two innings of work. The start coming against the hated Phillies didn't help matters, but fans are also notorious for just looking at a guy's stat line and what they see is three runs in two innings of work and not taking the time to understand the purpose of spring training games and see what actually happened.
Sure, JT Realmuto and Alec Bohm took Smith-Shawver deep, but what the box score doesn't tell you is that he was also already hitting 99 MPH and made three other Philllies hitters look foolish while striking them out. Smith-Shawver is still very young and, like many pitchers, he is still experimenting a bit this spring and trying to get in game shape. That is he already throwing absolute gas and punching guys out is a huge win even if he threw a couple breaking balls he wish he could have back.
At the end of the day, spring training is where you want guys to make mistakes. This is the time to figure out where your stuff stands and make adjustments accordingly. Smith-Shawver remains one of the Braves' best prospects and no one should be writing him off due to a couple bad pitches to some good hitters. Unfortunately, that isn't going to stop people from doing just that anyways.
More Braves News from House That Hank Built
manual