Atlanta Braves Prospect Report: Rome Braves Edition
We know how the Atlanta Braves are doing, but how are things going down on the farm? How about we take a look at some of the Braves minor leaguers, now moving over to High-A Rome!
Now, Rome does not have as many top 30 prospects according to MLB pipeline, but they have some fun names to keep an eye on! How are they performing?
Prospect rankings based on MLB Pipeline.
Ignacio Alvarez
Starting off hot with a name that is gaining some popularity in Braves country. Ignacio Alvarez was taken in the 5th round of the 2022 draft and currently sits as the Braves' 15th-ranked prospect! The thought during the draft was maybe the Braves found an undercover gem and Alvarez has done nothing but support that claim.
So far in 2023, Alvarez is hitting .307/.463/.386 1 HR, 17 R, 28 RBI, 8 SB, a .412 wOBA, & 145 wRC+ over 149 plate appearances. It is an interesting batting line.
For starters, he has shown a great feel for the plate and is taking walks at an elite rate. This year, he is walking 20.8% of the time while only striking out 12.8%. Since being drafted by the Braves, Alvarez has had 271 plate appearances, he has walked 57 times (21.0%) while only striking out 34 times (12.5%). He is willing to take his walks.
Next, the lack of power is concerning. He will need to improve upon his .079 ISO at some point but I think the power is there. His last year in college he hit .370/.494/.582, and while that may not have been against the toughest competition, it makes me think there is more power we just have not seen from Nacho yet.
It does also draw concern that maybe his current batting average is not sustainable, but his current .358 BABIP is not ridiculously high. I think Alvarez just happens to have a plus hit tool combined with an elite eye. We need the power to show up eventually, but nobody should ever really be too concerned with someone getting on base 46% of the time.
Defensively, there is questions on if he can handle shortstop as he grows and fills out his body. Currently though, he does show a strong enough arm and good instincts to handle the position. He might be better off at third or second base eventually, but the Braves are going to give him every shot to stick at short. Seeing as the Braves still have to figure out that position long-term, it makes perfect sense to give him a long leash to see if he can handle the position.
Brandol Mezquita
Brandol Mezquita, the Braves' 17th-ranked prospect, is a bit of an interesting story. He was one of the players who had his deal nullified back in 2017 as a part of the international signing infractions but he stuck with the Braves.
It then took him a while but he really impressed in the complex league in 2021 and then looked really good at Augusta in 2022. However, he has struggled to figure it out at High-A Rome. In 99 plate appearances this year, he is hitting .189/.255/.322 2 HR, 14 R, 8 RBI, 4 SB, .267 wOBA, & 56 wRC+. He is also the opposite of Alvarez in that he is too aggressive at the plate and it has led to a 39.4% strikeout rate.
He is 21, but there are still a lot of raw tools that make Mezquita appealing as a prospect. He just has to figure out how to consistently utilize them. Unfortunately, he also does not look like someone that can play center field long-term (only played right field this year), and that means he will really need the bat to start coming around.
He is also rule 5 eligible, meaning if he ever does start putting it together, he could be at risk each offseason. While the rule-5 draft is mostly used to find pitching, a team might take a shot on a toolsy outfielder. Mezquita has to put it together first though.
Geraldo Quintero
An international free agent from 2018, there was hope that Geraldo Quintero could be a sneaky signing throughout the dark days of the international signing sanctions. The 19th-ranked prospect is more of a throwback to smaller middle infielders who rely on their speed and good defense to make an impact.
He had an impressive 2022, but it has not carried over to 2023 just yet. In 161 plate appearances, Quintero is hitting .231/.306/.301 1 HR, 19 R, 12 RBI, 10 SB, .290 wOBA, & 70 wRC+. His walk rate has dropped from 10.4% to 8.7% which is problematic. If he cannot find a way on base, it will be tough for him to impact the game long-term because it limits his ability to impact the game with his legs.
There is not much there in terms of exit velocity, meaning he is going to need to develop elite bat to ball skills and learn to draw walks. Currently, it looks like opposing pitching staffs are willing to challenge him because they know he is not going to do much damage at this moment.
Luis Arraez has proven that baseball players can succeed with bat control even if they do not consistently smoke the ball. There is a reason there are not many like Luis Arraez in the game. It is becoming increasingly harder to make it in professional baseball that way.
Drake Baldwin
The 5th-round selection in the 2022 draft, Drake Baldwin comes in as the 23rd-ranked prospect in the system. He is a guy that a lot of metrics really liked, the Braves are hoping they can develop Baldwin into something special.
In 126 plate appearances, he is currently hitting .220/.373/.450 6 HR, 17 R, 23 RBI, .375 wOBA, & 122 wRC+. Love seeing the combination of a patient eye and power from a guy in the minor leagues. Sure, we would like to see the hit tool catch up, but a .239 BABIP could help bring the average up as the BABIP normalizes. Plus, nobody can complain about a guy getting on base 37% of the time with a .230 ISO.
He has really turned it on in May, hitting .255/.391/.608 5 HR, 11 R, 16 RBI, .427 wOBA, & 154 wRC+. This includes walking (17.2%) more than striking out (14.1%) this month. He has gotten hot and hopefully tapping into his true potential.
The power coming around this year is encouraging because he did not hit a home run after being drafted last year. Combined with a 17.5% walk rate, there is reason to be excited about Baldwin's potential at the plate.
Defensively, there is a lot to like about his game. Reports say he receives the ball well and does a good job of blocking behind the plate. Something that stands out in several scouting reports is his leadership behind the dish, several reports make note of that. Something that cannot be taught or quantified by numbers is the ability of a guy to lead. That should be beneficial to his game as he continues to learn how to call and manage a pitching staff. If there is one complaint early, it is his arm, but there is hope this can be corrected.
MLB pipeline projects him as a future backup or timeshare catcher. Time will tell if he has potential to be more long-term. Catchers usually take longer through the minor leagues, so Baldwin will have time to work out the kinks and develop his game.
Adam Zebrowski
It makes sense that the Atlanta Braves would have an impressive catcher tandem down on the minors. Adam Zebrowski joins Blake Baldwin in having good years behind the plate. Unlike Baldwin, Zebrowski is currently not ranked by MLB Pipeline, but does come in at 24 on Fangraphs list.
Zebrowski is hitting .286/.391/.561 6 HR, 15 R, 16 RBI, 1 SB, .423 wOBA, & 152 wRC+ across 115 plate appearances. A 14.8% walk rate and .276 ISO is impressive, no matter the level of baseball. If he continues to hit like this, he will turn more heads and garner more attention as a prospect.
He is having a down May, hitting just .204/.295/.389 with a .313 wOBA & 84 wRC+. So he will need to make some adjustments to get back on track. However, it does not take away that he has been a pleasant surprise so far in 2023.
While Baldwin is looked at as the better defensive catcher, Zebrowski is holding his own defensively. He will have more of an uphill climb through the system. If he finds a way to hit for power consistently, it will give him more opportunities.
Time will tell but he is a name worth monitoring throughout the year. Maybe he becomes a bigger name by the end of the year!