Atlanta Braves feature 9 defenders on midyear SABR Defensive Index

Atlanta Braves Centerfielder Ender Inciarte won the Gold Glove in 2017 and looks on course to win again in 2018 (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)
Atlanta Braves Centerfielder Ender Inciarte won the Gold Glove in 2017 and looks on course to win again in 2018 (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)
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Atlanta Braves Centerfielder Ender Inciarte won the Gold Glove in 2017 and looks on course to win again in 2018 (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)
Atlanta Braves Centerfielder Ender Inciarte won the Gold Glove in 2017 and looks on course to win again in 2018 (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images) /

SABR just released its midyear Defensive Index (SDI™) showing six Braves’ players in the top 25 overall ranked players on the list.

SDI’s ranking also lists Atlanta Braves players among the top ten in 8 of the 9 individual categories.

According to the website linked above, six years ago SABR joined the team providing data to writers selecting winners of both the Rawlings Gold Glove and Rawlings Platinum Glove Award™, presented by SABR.

The SDI itself accounts for about 25% of the selection process that also includes votes from managers and coaches. Voters receive SDI data along with their ballots to add statistical insight to their personal observations.

Explaining the SDI

Rawlings asked SABR to come up with “a single measure of a player’s defensive performance” as a way of combining and simplifying advanced metrics for use by voters.

The SABR committee created to accomplish the task from two types of metric to create SDI.

  1. Batted-ball and location-based data
  2. Data from play-by-play accounts.

They chose defensive runs saved (DRS), ultimate zone rating (UZR) and runs effectively defended (RED) based on STATS Zone Rating for batted-ball data, and agreed on defensive regression analysis (DRA) and Total Zone Rating (TZ) for play-by-play data.

The SDI algorithm includes three measures based on zone metrics. . .which account for 70% of the SDI value; and two measures based on play-by-play data. . .which account for 30% of the SDI value.

I downloaded the spreadsheet used for the 2013 process – you can as well by clicking here – to look at the way they structured to formulas.

The committee created a separate formula for pitchers, catchers, and fielders that generally gives DRS and RED the most weight with TZ and DRA rated equally ranked when used.

They also adjusted the pitcher and catcher formula to make them comparable to the fielders.  If you’re curious about the actual weights and adjustments download the spreadsheet.

While the process may evolve, the formula remains unchanged for this season.

Where the Atlanta Braves rank

When Alex Anthopoulos took over he said his focus would be on improving the defense. So far this season the eye test backs that up.

One position does, however, appear in need of significant improvement.

I’m a fan of getting Mike and Sean learning to land in a better fielding position but teams today seem to place little emphasis on that. The only real problem area is catching.

Atlanta Braves catcher Tyler Flowers is among the league’s best defenders. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)
Atlanta Braves catcher Tyler Flowers is among the league’s best defenders. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) /

Braves catcher stats are complicated

All of the metrics available to me suggest Flowers would fall in the top ten catchers if he had played enough innings to qualify for the midyear list. He ranks ahead of Suzuki in most readily available categories and my best guess puts him at the eight or nine slot on the list.

Based on that Flowers should be primary catcher but it isn’t that simple. The problem facing the Braves comes on the other side of the ball.

Looking at catchers with 180 PA, Flowers ranks eighth in wRC+ (102) and Suzuki ninth (97) but Suzuki has 100 more PA skewing the wRC+ count in Flowers favor.

Suzuki also posts a higher OPS – a relatively weak .727 – than Flowers .709 and hits left and right-handed pitchers equally well.

Flowers also has a huge L/R split.

The difference gets bigger when relievers are included.

These splits are typical of his career numbers outside of 2016 and 2017.

Based on these numbers, Flowers should face only left-handed pitching. That and age are why the Braves’ free agent search this off-season will certainly include better catching.

ATLANTA, GA – JUNE 06: Jason Hursh #56 of the Atlanta Braves pitches in the ninth inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at SunTrust Park on June 6, 2017 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
ATLANTA, GA – JUNE 06: Jason Hursh #56 of the Atlanta Braves pitches in the ninth inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at SunTrust Park on June 6, 2017 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images) /

Roster Rumblings

This afternoon the Braves outrighted Jason Hursh off the 40-man roster.  I noted in my post on the 26th man that outrighting him to clear a spot could happen at any time. Grant McCauley confirms (Twitter link) that at some point they transferred Darren O’Day to the 60-day DL as well. That leaves 38 names on the roster.

More from Tomahawk Take

The Athletic’s David O’Brien (Twitter link) and others report that the Braves decided to return to a five-man rotation. They optioned Kolby Allard back to Gwinnett today as required by the 26th man rules and it appears his two outings convinced them he wasn’t ready for prime time.

That means Newcomb back on the bump Sunday and a TBD in one of the probable pitcher slots next Monday.  Speculation in the Twitterverse has Touki Toussaint joining the roster to make the start.

Max Fried’s injury and Luiz Gohara’s persistent shoulder issues seem to make Touki the logical internal choice.

That’s a wrap

The SDI numbers include games through July and some will certainly change. Overall, however, the Atlanta Braves defense looks tight and versatile.

Without jumping into a new post too far, Dansby needs to find his hitting stroke or he’ll find himself on the bench this season and possibly traded in the offseason. Since May 27 he’s hit to a .216/.282/.356/.638 line with five homers, 19 walks, and 50 strikeouts. Someone should hand him the ax-bat he used to start the season. It worked well.

Defensively the Braves are solid, offensively they need a LH bench bat in place of the forgotten man who led the league in hitting before being sat down – Ryan Flaherty.

Next. Nick for MVP!. dark

The waiver wires are hot, perhaps something will happen to fill that spot soon or perhaps another prospect will fill the slots vacated by Hursh and O’Day. Stay tuned at the Take for the latest detail on Atlanta Braves roster moves.

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