Atlanta Braves Top 100 Prospect – #32 Zachary Bird Scouting Report
Atlanta Braves Right Hander Zachary Bird
Who Is He?
Zachary Bird is a Mississippi boy, drafted in the 9th round in 2012 by the Los Angeles Dodgers out of high school in Jackson, Mississippi. The Dodgers sent him to their rookie league team in the Arizona League in his draft season where he made 10 starts, throwing 39 2/3 innings. In that time, he racked up a 4.54 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and 17/46 BB/K ratio and began drawing rave reviews for his raw stuff.
Bird moved up to Ogden of the advanced-rookie Pioneer League in 2013 to start the season, and he finished by moving up to Great Lakes of the Midwest League. Once again, scouts raved about his stuff, but the numbers left a lot to be desired. In 28 combined appearances (20 starts), he pitched 103 2/3 innings, totaling a 5.38 ERA and 1.57 WHIP with a 64/94 BB/K ratio. The control became a real issue after his promotion, walking 45 in 60 innings in the Midwest League.
Bird returned to Great Lakes for the entire 2014 season, and the results were more impressive over 26 games and 24 starts, throwing 118 2/3 innings. He ended the season with a 4.25 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, and 55/110 BB/K ratio, leaving scouts to rave about his stuff again.
Next: Bird's scouting report
The Dodgers moved Bird up to high-A Rancho Cucamonga of the California League to start 2015. The Cal League is a notorious hitter’s league, so a higher ERA wasn’t surprising, and the improved control numbers were promising. The Atlanta Braves acquired Bird in the big July trade with the Dodgers and Marlins. The Braves sent him immediately to the AA Mississippi Braves, and while his debut went well and his ERA wasn’t terrible, he was lucky to keep that ERA with the struggles with control that he had. Overall on the season, he made 22 appearances, 20 of them starts. Combined, he had a 4.69 ERA and 1.40 WHIP over 101 2/3 innings while posting a 60/103 BB/K ratio.
Zachary Bird Scouting Report
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I wanted to get a good look at Bird due to the concerns I had with his control numbers, so I captured his last three starts in the Dodgers organization and all three of his starts with the Braves as well. Over those 6 starts, Bird went 1-4 over 30 2/3 innings with a 3.82 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, and 20/29 BB/K ratio.
Bird is listed at 6’4 and 205 pounds. He looks just incredibly athletic on the mound, and the reports of him being very athletic certainly looks the part when you see him on the mound. He could probably add another 15-20 pounds of muscle without overloading his frame. His delivery stays high in his wind up with a high 3/4 to over-the-top arm slot when he releases the ball.
Right away is when you see the issues as you watch the motion. Bird steps a shade toward first base as he moves toward the plate, not really using all of his long legs in his stride, which would be something you’d figure could add deception and the appearance of the ball “jumping” at hitters with his height and long limbs. His slight step toward first opens his hips and starts the issues in his delivery. After he releases the pitch, he falls off toward first base, but very inconsistently. On some pitches, he nearly fell over toward first, yet the next pitch, he barely leaned toward first while throwing the same exact pitch. He has a high leg kick follow through with his arm side leg, but in his motion at times, he seemingly stopped his arm side hip once the ball left his arm, which really makes for an odd contortion to his core and his plant leg. It just screams future injury to me, and that he finished the season injured didn’t surprise me much after seeing his motion. The other part is that you never really see the same combination of quirks two times in a row, which is a big reason you have the issues you do with Bird’s control.
Bird has a fastball that sits in the mid-90s and can touch 98. He gets good sink on the fastball, specifically arm-side sink. He compliments that well with a hard slider that tops out in the upper-80s and has just an absolutely wicked drop to it. The slider can hang when he tries to hit the absolute top of the velocity zone with the pitch, and it then becomes a meat ball that can be driven hard. His other two pitches are below-average right now. His change up could probably use a different grip, or he may want to go to a split-finger fastball instead. Right now, the pitch simply doesn’t move much, and it sits in the low- to mid-80s, so it simply looks like a slower fastball, and when batters are looking for a hanging slider in a similar velocity range, the change makes an easy target to hammer. His curve is incredibly inconsistent. When he was closer to straight vertical 12-6 curve, the pitch is incredibly difficult to hit as it sits low-70s with big looping motion and is a major offset to his high velocity fastball/slider combination. However, about half of the curve balls I saw were of a 1-7 break, and when he gets more toward that break, the ball slurves, doesn’t break near as deep, and sits at a higher velocity, running into the upper 70s, so essentially a slower version of his slider. If he could figure out how to gain that consistency to throw the 12-6 curve each time out, he’d have an incredible three pitch mix.
Next: 2016 outlook
One thing I loved about Bird in the Mississippi starts I saw of his was his ability to ride his emotions. When the situation ramped up, he focused himself, and he really got more focused and seemed to have more consistent motion and delivery, leading to better control. Now, if he could tap into that every time out.
Zachary Bird 2016 Outlook
To be entirely frank, what I saw in the video I saw was the makings of a future lights-out, dominating closer, not a guy who could be a great starter, yet Bird has been a guy who, before his injury to end his 2015 season, had been a guy who ate up innings throughout his professional career. Bird’s athleticism makes me think he could take well to tweaks to his delivery, but it’d be whether the Braves want to do that tweaking or if they know already what they have in Bird, which is probably their newest version of Arodys Vizcaino, and that’s not really a bad thing at all.
Next: Braves Top 100 Prospects Updated
Bird was probably pushed a little too early to Mississippi in 2015, likely for the “home town boy” effect, and now with the overloaded staffs in Gwinnett and Mississippi, Bird may get an opportunity to start 2016 back down in Carolina to really get his feet back underneath him and push back forward again and show the Braves what they got in their big righty. He’ll certainly be given every opportunity to start this year before likely be making his move to the bullpen in 2017 if this season repeats his 2015 results.