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So a 5th Starter, Then?

Update time.  The Braves want/need a 5th starter.  Let’s review the checklist:

  • Braves won’t trade for David Price (regardless of my own druthers)
  • Braves won’t spend big money on a free agent pitcher
  • Braves are not interested in trading away prospects for a frontline starter

So that leaves only a few possible routes:

  • Signing a free agent 5th starter
  • Trading for someone’s “extra” starter
  • Internal Options

The Free Agent Route

It was three weeks ago that Jeff last looked at the list.  Since then, the following pitchers have signed (elsewhere):

Those still available:

That leaves the following (those with weak constitutions may wish to turn away now):

  • Scott Carroll  (almost 30; ERA+ 81 in 2014 w/CHSOX in 129 innings.  Averaged a 4 ERA in minors/8 seasons)
  • Bruce Chen (37-1/2; only 48 innings in 2014; typically either very good or very bad over entire career)
  • Kevin Correia  (34; consistently mediocre performances since 2008, nearly average performer in 2013)
  • Aaron Harang (almost 37; rejuvenated results in late 2013-14. Career ERA+ of 99.  Eats innings)
  • Roberto Hernandez (34-1/2; one great year: 2007.  89 Career ERA+ counting that great year. Last ERA under 4 was in 2010)
  • Joe Saunders (33-1/2; ugly results in 2013-14, but only 43 innings in 2014. If healthy, he’s average, but walks too many; too many HRs)
  • Eric Stults (35; another ‘very good or very bad’ performer; lots of innings in 2013-14; ERA around 4 in those years)
  • Seattle Mariners starting pitcher Chris Young. He’s tall.

    Mandatory Credit: David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

    Carlos Villanueva (31; 77 innings in 2014; typically close to league average results. Never over 128 innings, though)

  • Ryan Vogelsong (37-1/2; almost in the ‘Please, no’ group. Last avg season was 2012; best was 2011)
  • Chris Young (35-1/2; lots of HR, though decent upside overall with 107 ERA+.  A Candidate.  Also 6’10” )
  • In a video blog from yesterday, MLB.com’s Mark Bowman suggests that Aaron Harang might have earned himself a multi-year deal thanks to his 2014 performance, which would take him out of consideration for Atlanta.  While Braves’ fans would probably like to see him back, that’s looking less likely unless he were willing to accept a 1 year offer.

    In fact, the Phillies are apparently showing interest in Harang now, and estimates suggest he’ll be able to command a 2 year deal in the $14 million range.

    Based on the above, I’d rank these pitchers into these tiers:

    The Trade Route

    This gets tricky, for the idea of trading away a major league pitcher usually requires a significant return… which Atlanta will not do at this point.  But there are some ways that the Front Office might be able to sneak a bargain from somebody.  Clearly, that would start with a team that has excess starting pitching… which immediately limits the candidates.

    • Teams needing a lefty reliever (Luis Avilan, perhaps?)
    • Teams with their own pending 40-man crunch
    • Teams wanting to dump salary – or a specific salary (though please: not Bartolo Colon)

    There aren’t too many teams with that kind of ‘surplus’ available, but keep an eye on San Diego if they throw all caution to the wind and go after Cole Hamels.  But anything in this category is certainly a long shot, so I won’t go into depth here.

    The Internal Options

    We pretty much have two or three, though I’ll add names since you never know:

    Of these, Hale is the only one already on the 40-man list, so if it comes down to this option, he’d be the choice unless he falls flat on his face this Spring.

     

    So that’s about it…  if you have any further suggestions, then please forward them to 755 Hank Aaron Drive, Atlanta, GA 30315.  I’m pretty sure they would like to have your input!

    Next: BJ Upton to Get Short Leash in 2015

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