Braves Good News Monday


Monday and the Braves postseason is WELL underway in Atlanta. Here’s what’s happened and it isn’t even noon yet.
Nate McLouth’s option declined, it cost a $1.5 million buy out but thank goodness that albatross is gone.
Following my post on a potential swap for Chone Figggins, the Braves as usual went a completely different way. John Kreger reports Derek Lowe reportedly traded to the Indians. We are paying about $10 million of the $15 million he was owed and the Tribe are sending us A Ball lefty Chris Jones who projects as a LOOGY according to Kevin_Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus. Tremendous plus for the team and for fan morale. Braves Twitter Critters are absolutely all a-tweet with joy.
Eric Hinske’s option picked up. I knew this would happen, the Diesel is an integral part of the bench team and clubhouse. Cost a measly $1.5 million.
Accords to COTS, the Braves commitments for 2012 so far look like this.
Chipper Jones | $14,000,000 |
Derek Lowe | $10,000,000 (paid to Cleveland) |
Dan Uggla | $13,200,000 |
Tim Hudson | $ 9,000,000 |
Brian McCann | $ 8,667,000 |
David Ross | $ 1,625,000 |
Eric Hinske | $ 1,500,000 |
Nate McClouth | $ 1,250,000 (buyout) |
Sub Total | $ 59,242,000 |
Arbitration Estimates | |
Jair Jurrjens | $ 5,100,000 |
Eric O’Flaherty | $ 2,400,000 |
Martin Prado | $ 4,400,000 |
Michael Bourn | $ 7,200,000 |
Peter Moylan | $ 2,000,000 (non-tender due to injury and resign perhaps) |
Estimated Commitments | $ 80,342,000 |
pre-arb minimum salary players existing est | $ 3.940,000 |
Sub total commitments | $ 84,332,000 |
2011 Payroll $ estimated 2012 target | $ 91,000,000 |
Available to fill 6 spots on 25 Man Roster | $ 6,668,000 |
Assuming we’ll be within spitting distance of the estimate we could sign a shortstop and perhaps a real right handed outfield bat.
I wrote about shortstop options earlier. As predicted Marco Scutaro is no longer in play because the Red Sox picked up his option and I still like Clint Barmes. If the money is close to these projections we aren’t in Josh Willingham territory but perhaps in Carlos Quentin range as I discussed last week.
Official Elias Rankings out today have Willingham as a Type A free agent and Barmes as a type B. Signing Willingham would cost us a draft pick while Barmes would not.
This is the first step towards killing the nasty taste left by last year’s failure to launch. I’ve noted before that I felt the GM was under orders – or at least a string suggestion -to do better because John Schuerholz felt it necessary to write to fans and apologize, not something he wants to do again I’m sure.
I hope that the failed signings of Nate McLouth, Kenshin Kawakami, Scott Linebrink, Scott Proctor and over estimation of the value of Derek Lowe have been a learning experience for the GM. My research into his acquisitions shows he does very well choosing young pitching prospects but not so well with older pitchers or everyday players. That is down at least in part to the scouts and advisors but the final choice is his. So here’s some free advice worth exactly what’s being paid for it, young players are better investments than older ones. Thus Willingham at 32 is not a long term investment for a team without outfield depth in the minor leagues while there are younger comparable bats who might be available via trade. Here’s a list of those between 25 and 30, with 22 or more homers and 50 or more RBI (a left fielder needs those numbers to play every day), who are not as of today under contract and whose teams might well be willing to trade for a pitcher – as they are our best bargaining chips.
Player | HR | RBI | Age | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | BB | SO | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nelson Cruz | 29 | 87 | 30 | 124 | 475 | 64 | 125 | 28 | 1 | 33 | 116 | .263 | .312 | .509 | .821 | ||
Carlos Quentin | 24 | 77 | 28 | 118 | 421 | 53 | 107 | 31 | 0 | 34 | 84 | .254 | .340 | .499 | .838 | ||
Alex Gordon | 23 | 87 | 27 | 151 | 611 | 101 | 185 | 45 | 4 | 67 | 139 | .303 | .376 | .502 | .879 | ||
B.J. Upton | 23 | 81 | 26 | 153 | 560 | 82 | 136 | 27 | 4 | 71 | 161 | .243 | .331 | .429 | .759 |
There may be others of course. I’ll look at the options other than Quentin, address concerns about inexperience in our rotation if we deal a pitcher and more issues as the hot stove heats up.