Atlanta Braves Morning Chop: W Palm, Pitching, Surveys

Mar 24, 2016; Lake Buena Vista, FL, USA; Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Matt Wisler (37) and catcher A.J. Pierzynski (15) talk on the mound during the fourth inning of a spring training baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies at Champion Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports
Mar 24, 2016; Lake Buena Vista, FL, USA; Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Matt Wisler (37) and catcher A.J. Pierzynski (15) talk on the mound during the fourth inning of a spring training baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies at Champion Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports /
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Here’s an Over/Under result for you! Mandatory Credit: Mark D. Smith-USA TODAY Sports
Here’s an Over/Under result for you! Mandatory Credit: Mark D. Smith-USA TODAY Sports /

Early Returns on the Over/Under Contest

If you didn’t know, we’re holding a modest contest here at TomahawkTake.com… and you are invited to participate.  You can check up on that here at this link, but I wanted to sure some early trends in some of the Q&A questions that were asked:

  • Total Team Wins in 2016.  Glad to see that 75% of you are more optimistic… I probably should have set this Over/Under bar at about 72 or 73 Wins, but at least a bunch of you think that 70 or above is reachable.
  • How many of the Opening Day Roster players will still be wish us on August 31st?  Wow – 70% think only 16 or fewer will be… that’s a strong turnover.  But we’ve seen that, right?
  • Run Production.  Almost 80% believe that the Braves will get past that 600 runs barrier.  Good.
  • Homer Hitters:  73% believe the Braves will put at least 4 into double digits.
  • Team batting:  91% of you believe they’ll easily beat last year and beyond… .253 or more.
  • Team Defense:  However, 2/3rds of y’all believe that the loss of Andrelton Simmons will doom the defense, resulting in -17 or worse for Defensive Runs Saved as a team.
  • Pitchers with at least 10 wins:  2 or more is favored by 68%.  This one will be interesting to watch, given expected turnover.
  • Pitchers with at least 150 innings:  2 or fewer favored here.  That’s doubly interesting, given the result of the previous question!
  • Bullpen ERA Projection:  Finally, an even split!  50.5% believe it will be above 4.00; 49.5% below.
  • Number of Pitchers used:  32 or fewer was favored… but it’s close (57%)

On the tie-breakers:

  • A modest plurality believe Erick Aybar will not be traded.  Interesting.  But the earliest guess is already off… that was yesterday!
  • Lots of variety on the answers to the other tie-breakers.  I like it.

Next: Does Nick-Nick Need a Tom-Tom? He Looks Lost at the Plate

Thanks for participating in this:  the contest remains open through Noon, Eastern time on Opening Day!