Atlanta Braves looking for a bat after the rain left town

MIAMI, FL - MAY 14: A detailed view of the third base bag before the start of the game between the Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park on May 14, 2017 in Miami, Florida. Players are wearing pink to celebrate Mother's Day weekend and support breast cancer awareness. (Photo by Eric Espada/Getty Images)
MIAMI, FL - MAY 14: A detailed view of the third base bag before the start of the game between the Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park on May 14, 2017 in Miami, Florida. Players are wearing pink to celebrate Mother's Day weekend and support breast cancer awareness. (Photo by Eric Espada/Getty Images) /
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Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves continue to look for a cleanup hitter. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images) /

Number crunching Atlanta Braves potential targets

The columns are color-coded to identify the best in each list, and since we’re talking about thousandths of a point, if the stats were close, I gave them equal ranks.

All data from Fangraphs using their splits tool and variations on a custom player list

First are the full-season numbers.

PA AB wOBA wRC+ Colors
659 549 .377 132
586 539 .353 119 Best
662 588 .392 128 Second
443 393 .332 110 Third
549 485 .337 110
664 615 .357 121
679 602 .373 132

All of these players had good seasons, three of them as good or better than Donaldson and two pretty close behind.

Next, we have their numbers in elevated leverage, that’s Fangraphs medium and high-leverage combined.

PA AB wOBA wRC+ player ID
245 199 .361 121 JoshD
279 252 .348 115 9241
340 296 .403 136 9777 Best
194 147 .330 109 9785 Second
296 267 .329 104 10324 Third
284 261 .350 117 11737
304 268 .338 109 15149
278 236 .409 154 15429

In elevated leverage player 15429 stands out:  He’s better than Donaldson, and player 9777 is close in game-changing situations as well.

Finally, here are the numbers with RISP.

PA BA wOBA wRC+ player ID
147 119 .383 136 JD
148 127 .424 165 9241 Best
177 140 .412 141 9777 Second
100 80 .365 133 9785 Third
156 134 .339 111 10324
117 102 .306 88 11737
164 139 .330 103 15149
123 117 .368 127 15429

In this case, we see a swapping of positions from elevated leverage situations, because all RISP situations aren’t game-changers.

So far, the top and bottom players on the list seem to offer the best options. Only one player listed batted fourth all season. Whether that makes a difference or not depends on the player. However, all have some experience in that slot in the order.

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It seems that player 10324, might be a little light for the job, 9785 is steady overall and in leverage situations, and better with RISP. while 15149 shows a significant drop-off in leverage or RISP situations, from his day-to-day performance

In order of appearance

Here are the players listed in player ID order with all three sets of numbers by their names.

Season Leverage RISP
Player wOBA wRC+ wOBA wRC+ wOBA wRC+
Donaldson .377 132 .361 121 .383 136
Marte .353 119 .348 115 .424 165
Arenado .392 128 .403 136 .412 141
Seager .332 110 .357 127 .365 133
Ozuna .337 110 .329 104 .339 111
Castellanos .357 121 .350 117 .306 88
Mancini .373 132 .338 109 .330 103
Bryant .379 135 .409 154 .368 127

The only full-time number four-hitter in the list is Marte.

Arenado spent two-thirds of the season batting third and one-third batting fourth

Bryant split time between the second and third spots in the order

Castellanos hit second two-thirds of the time and third in his other PA

Marte batted third most of the season with 150 PA in the two-hole

Mancini hit split time between hitting second and hitting third

Seager missed all of April he split time between hitting fourth and sixth spots and hit everywhere but leadoff for the Mariners. Hitting four or six he put up significantly better numbers

  • .343 wOBA, 118 wRC+ overall in 273 PA
  • .357 wOBA 127 wRC+ in elevated leverage in 147 PA
  • .414 wOBA, 166 wRC+ with RISP  in 58 PA