Atlanta Braves hot and not update for May 3, 2019

Chilly isn’t it?

Meanwhile, Dansby Swanson cooled off a little from his blistering start. He’s still hitting the ball hard and seems to like the two hole though I suspect he ends up back at the six-spot when Donaldson returns (ed. note: indeed, this was the case Friday night).

The real shock comes from the latest numbers of Ronald Acuna Jr.

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As Alan wrote on Friday morning, Acuna is absolutely frigid at the moment.  He hit well in Florida last year, so perhaps the trip to Miami will warm him up.  The other shocker is Camargo’s struggles against right-hand pitching.

On the season he’s hitting just .200/.259/.220/.479 against righties, that’s contrary to last season when the difference between his splits was almost nonexistent.

Since April 16, Camargo’s hitting .222/.222/.222/.444 with a .000 ISO, no walks and three strikeouts in 36 PA.

Savant Stats

StatCast data shows some confusing tendencies, but remember this is just one week’s worth of data, so statisticians beware.

I sorted the table on xwOBA – expected, weighted on-base average – since it’s wOBA’s an indicator of production.  The green panels indicated the player was to some degree unlucky not to get a better result while the yellow says luck played a part.

Launch angle and exit velocity combined with where they hit the ball, and pull both Markakis and Camargo’s expected outcomes down.

StatCast thinks Inciarte was lucky but still ranked him higher because his batted ball events were mostly opposite field.