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Braves rumors: What can Braves fans expect from a Julio Teheran trade?

By Benjamin Chase

ATLANTA, GA. - JUNE 17: Julio Teheran #49 of the Atlanta Braves relaxes in the dugout before the game against the San Diego Padres at SunTrust Field on June 17, 2018 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Scott Cunningham/Getty Images)
ATLANTA, GA. - JUNE 17: Julio Teheran #49 of the Atlanta Braves relaxes in the dugout before the game against the San Diego Padres at SunTrust Field on June 17, 2018 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Scott Cunningham/Getty Images) /
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ATLANTA, GA – MAY 29: Johan Camargo #17 of the Atlanta Braves is doused by Ozzie Albies #1 and Julio Teheran #49 after his walk-off homer in the ninth inning of a 7-6 win over the New York Mets at SunTrust Park on May 29, 2018 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images) /

How much is Julio worth?

With his first full season being 2013, let’s take a quick look at where Teheran ranks among all pitchers in the 2013-2018 timeframe:

  • Wins (66) – 22nd
  • Games Started (189) – 4th
  • Complete Games (5) – 22nd (tie)
  • Shutouts (3) – 17th (tie)
  • Innings (1,159 1/3) – 11th
  • Strikeouts (1,007) – 16th
  • ERA (3.61) – 36th
  • WHIP (1.19) – 27th
  • Quality Starts (116) – 11th
  • QS% (61.4) – 21st
  • bWAR (16.8) – 22nd

That’s an incredible grouping when you put it all together. While he’s not been considered as such, Teheran has really been among one of the best pitchers in the league, certainly among the best 25-35 pitchers in the league, which definitely should bring some value.

Add in Julio’s age (28 in January) and contract ($11.2M in 2019 with a $12M option in 2020 with a $1M buyout), and he should be a valuable trade chip.

Comparables

Recently, a few guys who would be similar players have hit the trade market. Let’s see what they got:

Gio Gonzalez (17.0 bWAR 2013-2018) from Washington Nationals to Milwaukee Brewers 2018 midseason in a contract year for two prospects between 15-30 on the list.

J.A. Happ (15.9) from Toronto Blue Jays to New York Yankees midseason 2018 in a contract year for a MLB-ready infielder and MLB-ready outfielder.

Chris Archer (12.9) from Tampa Bay Rays to Pittsburgh Pirates midseason 2018 with 3 more seasons of control for a MLB-ready starter, MLB-ready outfielder, and a top 5 system prospect.

Gerrit Cole (16.7) from Pittsburgh Pirates to Houston Astros in 2017-2018 offseason with 2 years of control for a MLB third baseman, MLB reliever, MLB starter, and a prospect just off the top 30.

Jose Quintana (22.4) from Chicago White Sox to Chicago Cubs midseason 2017 with three more seasons of control for a top 5 prospect in baseball, a borderline top 100 prospect in baseball, and two prospects outside of the Cubs top 30.

With those deals in mind, who may Braves rumors pair with Teheran, and what sort of deal could work?

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