TomahawkTake’s Mid-Season Top 30-ish Atlanta Braves Prospects – Honorable Mentions

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2014 Mississippi Braves Manager Aaron Holbert, seen with coach John Moses. August 2014. Photo credit Alan Carpenter, TomahawkTake.com
2014 Mississippi Braves Manager Aaron Holbert, seen with coach John Moses. August 2014. Photo credit Alan Carpenter, TomahawkTake.com /

Opinions vary widely on the Braves Top Prospects, but that should tell us that the farm system depth is real as we gather a consensus from our writers.

Now that the 2016 North American (Rule 4) MLB draft is complete, the July 2 International Market has mostly settled, and the August 1 trade deadline is over, it’s time to finally see if we can rank the minor leaguers in the Atlanta Braves farm system.

This is a task that definitely has challenges.  Here we have a franchise that recently had highly-ranked players such as J.R. Graham, Aaron Northcraft, Edward Salcedo, Tyler Pastornicky, Randall Delgado, and Zeke Spruill.  It was sometimes tough to come up with even 20 names for a couple of years as we wondered whether some could ever get to the majors.

Now we have a different kind of difficulty: making guesses as to how high these new arrivals can go…  and when I started asking, I received 50 names in response.

This is a testimony of the scouting department and the players… but as always, this is a starting point.  The finish line is (hopefully) the development into quality major league players.

With the names on this list, it feels like there is a greater chance of this now than at any time that I can recall as a lifetime Braves’ follower.

The Ground Rules

There are a number of players that we excluded, for reasons of being on the major league roster for a long-enough period of time:

8 of our writing staff submitted entries.  Each player was scored 1-30, and scores were averaged.  Those left off one list or another were given a semi-arbitrary score of 33.

As mentioned, there were twenty other names that were mentioned, yet did not crack our Top 30.  These are identified as Honorable Mentions, and that is the subject of this post.

This list is not intended to compete with the Top 100 rankings that Ben Chase has graced us with – in fact, he was a contributor to this work.  Ben goes into considerable depth in an effort to put “eyes on” to everyone he ranks.  But this is an effort to get a snapshot of how the farm stands at this point – with more voices contributing.

The parameters have changed from Ben’s last updates:   we’ve expanded the search criteria to all new members of the organization, though some (especially the international kids) haven’t played much yet.  There are other factors, too:  many of the new draftees (especially the college talent)  should be dominating the Rookie leagues, and thus it’s hard to know how challenged they are just yet.  As a result, we made our best guesses based on the information at hand, but as always, the process is fluid.

So with all of those disclaimers, let’s see our team has come up with!

Next: Honorable Mentions Group 1

Mauricio Cabrera, from Aug 2015 as a member of the Mississippi Braves. Photo credit: Alan Carpenter, TomahawkTake.com
Mauricio Cabrera, from Aug 2015 as a member of the Mississippi Braves. Photo credit: Alan Carpenter, TomahawkTake.com /

The Best of the Rest, Part 1

Do not be mislead by seeing names here that are not on the more formal “ranked” list that will come later… there will be major league players that come from this group.  But at some point we had to draw lines and say ‘this is all for now’.  But the cream will rise to the top over time.

This list will have many names that don’t jump out at you – but I will suggest that all are worth getting to know.

DREW HARRINGTON

  • 21 years old, 6-2/225, LHP (Louisville, 2016, 80th overall pick)
  • 10 innings, 0.90 ERA, 9/3 K/BB, 1.40 WHIP
  • Danville Braves
  • ACC pitcher of the year for Louisville
  • Low 90’s fastball with sinker, change-up, and a breaker.  Could move fast through the system next year.  Will be curious to see if the club sees him as a reliever or starter (as he was in college) over the long term.  While I would lean ‘starter’, that might not be his fastest route to the majors.

YUNIOR SEVERINO

  • 16 year old International signee in 2016
  • ‘Bat first’ SS/2B
  • 8th ranked J2 prospect, graced with a $1.9 million bonus
  • Will be assigned to Dominican Summer League next year.
  • Seems to be “toolsy”, but not much stands out at this time.  However, somebody thought pretty highly of him, so we’ll just have to watch and wait.

DILMER MEJIA

  • 19 years old, 5-11/160, LHP
  • International signee, Nicaragua, from 2013.
  • Made the leap to the Gulf Coast League this season.
  • 25 innings, 2.13 ERA, 23K/7BB, 1.42 WHIP
  • Good chance of 3 plus pitches – definitely worth following, given early indications of dominant stuff plus control.

MAURICIO CABRERA

  • 22 years old (23 next month), 6-3/225, RHP
  • International signee, Dominican Republic in the 2010-11 period.
  • Jumped to the majors from AA in June, reliever
  • Will graduate off this list by year’s end
  • Two pitches:  Fastball and a breaker.  But that fastball ranks as the fastest in the majors, on average.
  • Our voters tend to have a bias against relievers in general due to the limited impact that they tend to have in games overall, but thus far, Cabrera has been keeping his perennial control issues in check, resulting in solid outings.  Fears that he would become another Juan Jaime have not materialized.

CALEB DIRKS

  • 23 years old, 6-3/220 RHP
  • Selected by Braves in Round 15/2014 draft out of California Baptist University.
  • AA Mississippi, reliever.
  • Traded to Dodgers as part of International bonus slot deal in 2015.
  • Traded back to Atlanta in the Bud Norris/Dian Toscano deal that also brought Philip Pfeifer to us… and he should probably have been on this page somewhere, too.
  • ERA in the 1.40’s for 2 different AA leagues this year.  52/14 K/BB, 1.07 WHIP in nearly 50 innings.
  • From those numbers, there’s not much left to show in AA for Dirks.  Next stop, AAA.

RAY-PATRICK DIDDER

  • Full 80-grade name:  Ray-Patrick Elijah Khalil Didder.  6-0/170.
  • Will be 22 in August; from Aruba.
  • Plays the entire outfield and middle of the infield
  • A/Rome
  • Weirdest stat of any player I’ve seen short of somebody like Willians Astudillo35 HBP in 109 games at Rome.  That plus 42 walks and 107 hits makes for a .389 OBP.
  • Oh, and he’s also smacked 4 homers with 21 other XBH while hitting .270.

RAMON OSUNA

  • 21 years old, 6-3/240, 1B
  • Selected in Round 14/2016 draft, Walters State Community College (TN)
  • Interviewed by TomahawkTake
  • Danville Braves
  • .337/.410/.500/.910 in 28 games/105 PA with 9 doubles/2 HR/16 RBI.
  • 12 BB, 31 K
  • Update:  make that 3 homers.  In a BaseballAmerica story about Ian Anderson, there was a note about Osuna’s homer during the game:  110mph exit velocity and 430 feet.  Nice.

MATT LIPKA

  • 24 years old, 5-1/200, OF
  • 1st Round pick in 2010 by the Braves (35th overall), McKinney HS (TX)
  • AAA Gwinnett
  • Former top prospect with “tools”, never has blossomed as anticipated, as hitting has never clicked.
  • Currently .237/.286/.378/.663 at AAA (44 games).  Without a sudden breakout, could be a release candidate soon.

JONATHAN MORALES

  • 21 years old, 5-11/180+, C/DH
  • 25th round draft pick of Braves in 2015; Miami-Dade College (FL), native of Puerto Rico.
  • A/Rome
  • .304 in 2015 Rookie ball; slowed to .254 at Rome (92 games).  Some power still possible:  21 doubles and 3 homers this year.  K rate is good at under 14%.
  • Full scouting report

CONNOR LIEN

  • 22 years old, 6-3/225, OF
  • 12th round pick by Atlanta in 2012 from Olympia HS (Orlando, FL)
  • AA Mississippi
  • Elite defender with an arm, though hitting has lagged a bit (.243 this season) with high strikeouts, though 700-800 range OPS at times.
  • Getting more playing time at Mississippi lately; mostly center field.
  • Full scouting report

Next: Next Group

RHP Jason Hursh. Photo credit: Alan Carpenter, TomahawkTake.com
RHP Jason Hursh. Photo credit: Alan Carpenter, TomahawkTake.com /

The Best of the Rest, Part 2

TYLER NESLONY

  • 22 years old, 6-1/190, OF
  • 9th round pick by Atlanta in 2016 draft; Texas Tech University
  • Recently promoted to A/Rome from Danville
  • Was destroying Appy League pitching, so quick move to Rome.  In 26 games, has .255 avg/.668 OPS with a homer, 4 doubles, 8 BB/20 K in 104 PAs.
  • Texas Tech stats were solid:  .306/.400/.536/.936 (10 HR) in 235 AB.
  • Has been playing both corner OF positions thus far.  Excellent arm for either.
  • Kind of resembles a cross between Dansby Swanson and Andrew Benintendi.

More from Tomahawk Take

MATT CUSTRED

  • 22 years old (23 next month), 6-6/240, RHP
  • 31st round pick of the Braves in 2015, another Texas Tech product
  • A/Rome
  • relief pitcher
  • Struck out everything with a bat in 2015 (12.79 K/9 in almost 32 Danville innings)
  • Suffering control issues this Summer:  6.46 BB/9 with 3.42 ERA in 47 Rome innings.  Strikeouts still just over 1 per inning, with low/weak contact rates (.214 BABIP).
  • Definitely would be an imposing sight on the mound at his size.

ANFERNEE SEYMOUR

  • 21 years old, 5’11/165, SS/CF, SWH
  • 7th round pick of the Marlins in 2014 (American Heritage HS, FL).
  • Acquired in the recent Hunter Cervenka trade
  • 80 grade speed – said to be the fastest player in the organization now
  • A/Rome
  • Has 38 steals for the year (107 games).
  • Needs to improve hitting skills:  average, walk rate, K rate, and general OBP to be able to turn his speed into an effective weapon.

JASON HURSH

  • Closing in on 25 years old; 6-3/195, RHP
  • 1st Round pick of the Braves (#31 overall) in 2013
  • Converted to relief duty in 2015
  • Now attempting his 2nd stint at AAA/Gwinnett
  • Was hoped to be able to ride a heavy fastball to a starter’s role; now trying to make that an out pitch from the bullpen, and it seems to be working.  2.05 ERA in 57 AA innings; 0.00 in 3 outings at AAA (7 innings).  Strikeouts are light (1-2 every 3 innings), but walk rate is managable and WHIP has been in the 1.1-1.3 range.  BABIP elevated in AAA, but he’s certainly a candidate for the Atlanta bullpen next Spring.

UPDATE THIS MORNING:  MAYBE SOONER THAN THAT…

Seems that with the way the Braves’ bullpen handled Milwaukee (they didn’t) on Thursday, changes are afoot. So congratulations to Jason!

JUAN YEPEZ

  • 18½ years old, probably about 6-2’/220, corner infielder
  • International signee in 2014 from Venezuela
  • Made the GCL in 2015, but has been playing in the shadow of others (Riley); also had some injuries to keep him off the field
  • A/Rome
  • .306/.402/.400/.802 at Danville in 2015; .260/.315/.400/.715 in limited action at Rome
  • Full scouting report

ALEJANDRO SALAZAR

  • Will be 20 years old in October, 6-0/170, SS
  • International signee in 2013 from Venezuela
  • Came to Florida in 2015 as well after a nice Dominican Summer League effort in 2014.
  • A/Rome
  • .284/.352/.361/.713 for the GCL Braves in 2015
  • .284/.313/.313/.626 for Rome in 78 games/302 PA in 2016.  12 errors at SS isn’t bad at this level

ISRANEL WILSON

  • 18½ years old, 6-3/185, OF/DH
  • International signee from St. Martin
  • Clubbed 10 homers in 48 games with GCL Braves in 2015, though hit .222 in the process (.828 OPS).
  • A/Danville
  • In 31 Danville games this year, 2 HR and average has dipped to .205 with a very high K rate (~33%).

ABRAHAN GUTIERREZ

  • 16 years old, 6-1/180, Catcher
  • 2016 International signee, Venezuela
  • Will likely be assigned to Dominican Summer League for 2017.
  • Ranked 17th to 22nd among entire J2 class for this season.
  • Has been compared favorably to Javy Lopez with excellent defense.

ZACH BIRD

  • 22 years old, 6-4/205, RHP
  • Selected in 9th Round of 2012 draft by Dodgers out of Murrah HS in Jackson, MS
  • Acquired in the original Hector Olivera deal with LAD and Miami.
  • Currently A+/Carolina; has been bouncing between High-A/AA over last 2 seasons.
  • Was highly-ranked in the Dodgers’ system; has stalled in development with a suddenly high walk rate (~8 per 9 innings) and corresponding ERA (8.66 at Carolina).

JACOB WEBB

  • His 23rd birthday happens in 3 days, 6-1/200, RHP
  • Round 18 pick of the Braves in 2014… while on the shelf with a Tommy John surgery.  Born in Riverside, CA; found at Tabor College (KS).
  • R/Danville
  • Found both at Rome and Danville, this season, Webb is a reliever who has been destroying opponents at Danville as a relief pitcher.
  • The reality check:  2 outings with Rome (totaling 1.2 innings) didn’t go according to plan, but we’ll set that aside for now, given the small samples (2 walks, 3 hits, 3 earned runs, 16.20 ERA, 3 WHIP, 3K).
  • Danville:  9 innings, ERA 1.0. twenty-five strikeouts, 4 walks, 4 hits, .129 BA.
  • A couple of other words about Webb (his first name isn’t David, but maybe we should go ahead and nickname him ‘Jacob Bourne’?) from others:

From Martin Gandy:

18th Round (553): Jacob Webb, RHP — A junior from Tabor College in Kansas, Webb was a workhorse starter this season. In 15 games started he completed 10 of them, including 2 shutouts. He works his fastball in the low-90s, and complements that with a slider/cutter hybrid pitch in the low-80s. Webb rounds out his four-pitch arsenal with a change-up and curve. This is an intriguing pick for the Braves. I’ll be interested to see how his stuff plays in the pros. He could be a sleeper pick, much like Gus Schlosser was in the 17th round a few years ago.

Next: This Week in the Minors

Wow.  He could move fast if that continues at anything approaching what he’s already done.

Next Week:  our new Top 30 list.

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