Reds vs. Braves prediction and odds for Wednesday, April 12 (How to back Atlanta)
By Reed Wallach
The Atlanta Braves' offense has paced the team through the first two games of three with the Cincinnati Reds this week, winning 5-4 and 7-6.
Atlanta sends out its budding star to the mound, Spencer Strider, to try and lock down a sweep on Wednesday evening. Strider is a strong bet to continue his dominance this season, and the betting market reflects that, so how should we target the Braves' elite offense against second year pro Hunter Greene?
Before we get to that, let's check out the odds:
Reds vs. Braves odds, run line and total
Reds vs. Braves prediction and pick
The Braves offense is top 10 in most prominent advanced metrics. A versatile lineup that not only is hitting .270 as a group, but has crushed 15 home runs with a top 10 wRC+.
Greene is one of the highly touted prospects in the Reds rotation with overwhelming velocity, but he is also prone to blowup innings. He has erratic control of the strike zone and across 26 starts dating back to last season, he has allowed 25 home runs.
Against a Braves offense that has the likes of Matt Olson in the heart of it (.319 batting average with four home runs), this can be a troubling outing from the second year pro.
Considering the Braves are overwhelming favorites, I'll opt to zoom in on the club's offense and take the team total over. Even if Greene limits damage, the bullpen is going to be an issue for Cincy, who has an ERA over 5.00 as a unit and had the third worst mark in 2022.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.