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Braves must address one huge red flag to keep using Tyler Kinley in high leverage spots

Steven Teal
Steven Teal

House That Hank Built

Apr 14, 2026; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves pitcher Tyler Kinley (45) throws against the Miami Marlins in the seventh inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Mady Mertens-Imagn Images / Mady Mertens-Imagn Images

The Atlanta Braves built a pretty solid bullpen this offseason, and they have performed pretty well so far. Atlanta's relief core carries a 3.08 ERA, which is the third-best in baseball. That shows just how great of a job the front office has done.

While the results have been mostly positive, there are a few pitchers who are teetering on the edge of disaster. Right-hander Tyler Kinley unfortunately fits that bill a little too well. Kinley was a nice surprise after he was acquired from the Rockies last season. Atlanta brought him back on a one-year, $4.25 million deal after initially declining his $5.5 million option.

It made a lot of sense to bring him back after he amassed a 0.75 ERA over 25 innings with the Braves. The righty walked six and struck out 22 over that time frame as well.

Tyler Kinley's lowly chase rate could spell disaster if things don't turn around soon

Kinley's numbers are decent to start 2026, with a 1.38 ERA over 13 innings with six walks, 13 strikeouts, and a 2.73 FIP. His advanced analytics are extremely impressive. However, there is one thing that sticks out as a red flag. Kinley's chase rate is down significantly from where it was at 25.9%. For context, this ranks in the 22nd percentile among all of baseball. His chase rate last season was in the 81st percentile at 31.2%.

The difference may lie with his slider not baiting opponents enough. His slider is his pitch of choice and has been used almost 70% of the time this season. If we take a deeper look, opponents are only batting .161 against it, and a whiff rate of 32.4%.

It's clearly an effective pitch, but if opponents aren't chasing it. This can lead to disaster for Kinley since he uses the slider so often. Luckily for him, it hasn't effected him too badly yet. But it's something that really needs to improve before things implode for he and the Braves.

Steven Teal

Steven Teal

Co-Expert at House That Hank Built. I've been writing about Braves baseball since 2018 and 5 of those years have been with HTHB. I received an undergraduate degree in Sport Managment while attending Georgia Southern University. I also hold a Master of Arts in Communication. My love for sport journalism began during my time in college and it's only grown over the years. I love nothing more than covering the Atlanta Braves and bringing my thoughts to the best fan base in baseball. Some of my time is also spent writing about the Red Sox over at BoSox Injection.