Atlanta Braves: What is their X-Factor in the NLDS?
By Sam Peebles
What is the X-Factor in the series for the Atlanta Braves?
Postseason series are all about matchups since they are so short. This series is no different. So, what could be the x-factor that could be the difference between the lines that the overarching statistics above have not shown? Pitch types.
One statistic that we can look at is expected weighted on base average (xwOBA), which measure the quality of contact + walks + strikeouts. It is much like OPS+ but is more granular.
The Phillies pitchers utilize a combination of 4-seamer/sinker combo more than 27 other teams in MLB. Aaron Nola uses this combination 52.2 percent of the time. Zack Wheeler uses this combo 59.5 percent of the time.
It just so happens that the Atlanta Braves have the highest xwOBA against a 4-seamer/sinker combo of any team in MLB. The Braves offense is well suited to handle the arsenal that will be thrown against them.
On the flip side of things, the Braves throw a curveball more than 27 other teams at a whopping 15 percent of the time. It just so happens that the Phillies have not had much success against the curve.
They are 10th in MLB in terms of xwOBA against the curve, and breaking pitches are their worst pitch type to face in terms of their xwOBA against.
Next. Breaking down the Phillies for the 2022 NLDS. dark
This series is primed to be a lot of fun. Here is to hoping the Braves play to their strengths, utilize their x-factors, and reign victorious.